Nick,
I cannot be certain about this bird because it is a mixture of a soaring bird and a direct flight bird. Like you are saying Nick, it is likely that it will be headed NNE on the current winds. If it is flying in a direct flight all night, it could easily end up at Lake Superior. If instead it is choosing to navigate in soaring flight, we would have a very different story. Also, because this bird is so far afield from where it should be and it doesn't make meteorological sense why this bird would be here, I am not confident in saying what this bird is going to do. I appreciate the challenge, and it is tough to even communicate this appropriately because of all the uncertainty that surrounds this bird.
Thanks for pushing me though. I like the way you are thinking about this.
Bryan
Bryan Guarente
Meteorologist/Instructional Designer
UCAR/The COMET Program
Boulder, CO
On Thu, Nov 5, 2020 at 9:09 PM Nicholas Komar <quetzal65@comcast.net> wrote:
--Bryan Guarente, can you predict where the Frigatebird will be by morning? Looks like upper level winds are headed north by northeast, so I'm guessing Lake McConnaghy or further north. I'll be checking Boyd Lake and Horsetooth Reservoir first thing here in Larimer.Nick KomarFort Collins COOn Nov 5, 2020, at 8:36 PM, Brandon <flammowl17@gmail.com> wrote:Yes, the photos are good for a female Magnificent Frigatebird. 9:30am was when the first photos were taken. Congrats to the 5 birders who got to see it, I know 4 of them and saw them today, and they were all very excited.Brandon Percival
Pueblo West, CO--On Thu, Nov 5, 2020, 8:29 PM Sebastian Patti <sebastianpatti@hotmail.com> wrote:Magnificent???
There is a SPECIMEN of Great Frigatebird from Oklahoma . . .
Unit 3088Los Angeles, CA 90017
CELL: 773/304-7488
From: cobirds@googlegroups.com <cobirds@googlegroups.com> on behalf of Brandon <flammowl17@gmail.com>
Sent: Thursday, November 5, 2020 8:23 PM
Cc: Colorado Birds <cobirds@googlegroups.com>
Subject: Re: [cobirds] Frigatebird at John MartinThe bird was last seen at 2:35pm, by 4 birders at John Martin Reservoir. It was flying high, and possibly to the west. Many birders arrived around 3pm and after, and watched until dark. Maybe it will be 100 miles west of John Martin Reservoir tomorrow morning, I know a reservoir that will be checked.
Brandon Percival
Pueblo West, CO
--Hi All,
I don't want to step on the observers toes, but there was a Magnificent Frigatebird photographed at john martin reservoir today, apparently over the dam. Hopefully some people can make it there and see it before sunset!
Will AndersonBoulder--
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